Passionate-Township
0xa139daa9e38c0b6d24443bede2d34bcdc4256f00
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$30.7K
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$-1.6K
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
15000 shares @ 90.4¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.9K
$1.3K
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
11632 shares @ 93.8¢·now 90.3¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$10.5K
$-395.66
- NO
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
2000 shares @ 85.7¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.5K
$-264.00
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
1400 shares @ 91.9¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$-104.70
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
2700 shares @ 72.6¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$985.50
$-973.79
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
1000 shares @ 88.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$545.00
$-335.00
- YES
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
3954 shares @ 13.8¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$454.70
$-92.72
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
2000 shares @ 27.5¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$310.00
$-240.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
314 shares @ 90.9¢·now 73.3¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$230.43
$-55.40
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
200 shares @ 91.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$199.29
$17.30
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$733.57Jun 13, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$656.00Jun 13, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.0KJun 13, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$323.50Jun 13, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$289.34Jun 13, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$566.09Jun 13, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$201.23Jun 13, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$410.36Jun 13, 14:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$423.50Jun 13, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$168.00Jun 13, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$128.09Jun 13, 13:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$99.77Jun 13, 13:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.00Jun 13, 13:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$27.33Jun 13, 13:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$515.40Jun 13, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$144.00Jun 13, 13:40 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?$796.79Jun 12, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$52.00Jun 12, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$93.20Jun 12, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$8.22Jun 12, 20:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $232.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 21:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 17:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.