Apprehensive-Instinct
0xa143bedbbf8b9966eefe55089736d39e038aa135
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$2.21
Total PnL
$-341.74
Realised
$0.98
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Asaad Alnajjar win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
137 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.21
$-1.44
- YES
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
3000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Lee Jang-woo win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
749 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.87
- YES
Will Yang Hyang-ja win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
523 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Kim Doo-kyum win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Choi Min-ho win the 2026 Sejong mayoral election?
412 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-6.89
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
107 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.87
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$3.21Jun 4, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$0.26Jun 4, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$0.32Jun 4, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$0.42Jun 4, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$1.02Jun 4, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$1.03Jun 4, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$1.04Jun 4, 14:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$1.15Jun 4, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$1.00Jun 4, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$1.01Jun 4, 14:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$2.38Jun 4, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$1.00Jun 4, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$1.02Jun 4, 14:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$3.42Jun 4, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.00Jun 4, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.00Jun 4, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.02Jun 4, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.00Jun 4, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$0.22Jun 4, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$0.78Jun 4, 11:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $0.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 02:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 15:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".