Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
Probability
28¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-6.5pp
24h Vol
$304.87
Liquidity
$17.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
+5.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 927.9h
- 08:07SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 928h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 27¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 27¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 28¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 33¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 33¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 34¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 34¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 34¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 36¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 36¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 36¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 36¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 36¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 36¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.0pp
to 37¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.0pp
to 37¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 34¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 34¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
The 2026 Busan mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Busan. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
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