Elderly-Mandarin
0xa14545de81311d8a5162ef992898938b411349e6
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
48
Open notional
$5.34
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$268.70
Win rate
86%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- NO
Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
158 shares @ 19.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.11
$-25.89
- YES
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
278 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.11
$-48.89
- YES
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
244 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.12
$-54.88
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?
3265 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
2145 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154
1202 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will a Republican win New Jersey Presidential Election?
811 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-35.41
- YES
Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?
691 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-110.83
- YES
Will a Republican win New York Presidential Election?
652 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64
625 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-75.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$50.00Apr 14, 17:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$32.00Apr 12, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$20.00Apr 9, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$10.00Apr 8, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$25.00Apr 8, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$30.00Apr 8, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$40.00Apr 4, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$20.00Apr 4, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?$20.00Apr 2, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$10.00Apr 2, 21:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$25.71Apr 2, 21:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$27.18Apr 2, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMSaints vs. Chiefs$0.00Mar 29, 09:41 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$0.00Mar 29, 09:41 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$0.00Mar 29, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$20.00Mar 29, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$20.00Mar 29, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$20.00Mar 29, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?$20.00Mar 29, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$20.00Mar 29, 09:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $58.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 8, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 17:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".