Cumbersome-Alliance
0xa146e43c70bb667d8ea1c08a1c5708b010fe88a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$5.4K
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$7.52
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4360 shares @ 85.3¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.7K
$-60.40
- NO
Fed rate hike in 2026?
2410 shares @ 83.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$1.3K
$-686.84
- NO
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
1003 shares @ 89.8¢·now 18.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$188.10
$-712.84
- YES
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
21685 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$130.11
$-124.30
- YES
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30?
998 shares @ 7.5¢·now 4.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$48.40
$-26.18
- YES
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $850B by June 30?
998 shares @ 7.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$30.44
$-39.42
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?
941 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.65
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
188 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-86.48
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.33Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.33Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.32Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.32Jun 4, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.32Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.37Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.40Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.40May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.40May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.40May 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.40May 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.39May 27, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$272.01May 26, 17:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.39May 26, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $80.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.