0xa15b8e72de5d778a756030dbe019e2ccb02dd9df
0xa15b8e72de5d778a756030dbe019e2ccb02dd9df
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.42
Realised
$-1.49
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Oregon Presidential Election?
79 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.19
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Arizona US Senate Election?
47 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.09
- YES
Will NC State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?
32 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-0.06
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win New Jersey Presidential Election?
31 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.06
- YES
Nigel Farage next Conservative party leader?
30 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.06
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Minnesota Presidential Election?
28 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.08
- YES
Will Lionel Messi win the Ballon d’Or?
26 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2024$0.00
$-0.08
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Delaware Governor Election?
23 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.07
- YES
Will the Titans win Super Bowl 2025?
23 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-0.07
- YES
Trump sentenced to between 36 and 47 months prison time?
20 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2024$0.00
$-0.06
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?$1.60Dec 13, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?$1.60Dec 13, 07:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill RFK be a member of the Trump administration? $1.70Dec 13, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK be a member of the Trump administration? $1.71Dec 13, 07:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill RFK be a member of the Trump administration? $2.33Dec 13, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK be a member of the Trump administration? $2.33Dec 13, 07:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?$0.50Dec 13, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?$0.51Dec 13, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%?$2.90Dec 12, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%?$2.91Dec 12, 11:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?$0.41Dec 12, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?$0.42Dec 12, 11:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another team win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?$0.12Nov 25, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another team win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?$0.02Nov 25, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another team win the 2024 F1 Constructors Championship?$0.65Nov 25, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another player win the Heisman Trophy?$0.14Nov 25, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another player win the Heisman Trophy?$0.28Nov 25, 09:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another player win the Heisman Trophy?$0.10Nov 25, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another player win the Heisman Trophy?$0.20Nov 25, 09:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another driver win the 2024 F1 season?$0.30Nov 25, 09:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 24, 05:57 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 13, 07:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".