Insecure-Fire
0xa1726b44f76cf3b7ffd748cae41d8966300bb716
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$15.2K
Total PnL
$-4.8K
Realised
$-1.9K
Win rate
43%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
3930 shares @ 74.3¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.1K
$203.07
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
4704 shares @ 52.6¢·now 55.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.6K
$136.17
- YES
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
1830 shares @ 19.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$1.8K
$1.5K
- NO
Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027?
1582 shares @ 76.4¢·now 92.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$252.46
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
2116 shares @ 72.8¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.0K
$-513.56
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
1195 shares @ 87.8¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$967.81
$-81.86
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
1133 shares @ 87.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$849.88
$-135.98
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
3134 shares @ 68.9¢·now 23.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$725.44
$-1.4K
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
2666 shares @ 43.6¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$599.80
$-563.54
- NO
Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season?
432 shares @ 80.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$386.64
$41.04
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.50Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.50Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.50Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$85.34Jun 10, 03:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.51Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.51Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.51Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.49Jun 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.50Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.50Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.51Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$69.51Jun 3, 14:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.50Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.37Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.28May 31, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLInk FDV above $500M one day after launch?$76.42May 30, 15:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.28May 30, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$237.07May 29, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$64.75May 29, 02:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $80.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.