Velvety-Enclosure
0xa189b24b5f8ed6df95cfb5e28db0f0c22c8d341d
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-499.26
Realised
$-191.28
Win rate
0%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on March 12?
163 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-43.76
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 31?
158 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.42
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down on March 15?
132 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-35.47
- USC UPSTATE SPARTANS
USC Upstate Spartans vs. Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
131 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.88
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on April 21?
106 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-27.61
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 26?
100 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.51
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 29?
98 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.12
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 23?
90 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on April 14?
88 shares @ 26.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-23.37
- NO
Will Solana dip to $120 January 19-25?
76 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-72.11
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $80 August 3-9?$238.37Aug 10, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $80 August 3-9?$236.22Aug 9, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 2?$197.32Jul 2, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 2?$195.54Jul 1, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 31?$1.52May 31, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 28?$215.14May 28, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 28?$213.20May 27, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 20?$241.02May 20, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 20?$239.09May 20, 02:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 9?$223.89May 9, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 9?$221.87May 9, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 12?$20.23May 9, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 25?$0.00May 2, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on April 21?$1.26Apr 21, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.75 Week of April 6 2026?$215.00Apr 17, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on April 14?$1.99Apr 14, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.75 Week of April 6 2026?$213.71Apr 10, 19:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on March 31?$206.95Apr 10, 19:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 25?$0.00Mar 31, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on March 31?$0.58Mar 31, 02:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $80.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 23:01 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 10, 04:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.