Criminal-Causal
0xa18d9584e5dbe2f7e38e585fc54e688e5d8ab16a
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$-1.2K
Win rate
56%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
672 shares @ 91.2¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$644.98
$31.92
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
467 shares @ 82.4¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$422.25
$37.83
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
275 shares @ 90.1¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$260.29
$12.14
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
263 shares @ 69.6¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$224.94
$41.82
- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
162 shares @ 94.1¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$155.88
$3.82
- NO
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?
133 shares @ 93.9¢·now 87.1¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$115.78
$-9.12
- NO
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
95 shares @ 83.3¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$90.11
$11.01
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
72 shares @ 86.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$67.71
$6.09
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
45 shares @ 70.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.72
$7.94
- NO
Tucker Carlson federally charged?
21 shares @ 97.2¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.66
$0.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.42Jun 14, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.35Jun 14, 09:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$2.71Jun 14, 09:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$0.32Jun 14, 09:17 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$6.38Jun 14, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$0.69Jun 14, 08:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$1.10Jun 14, 08:47 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$0.58Jun 14, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$1.17Jun 14, 07:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$0.83Jun 14, 07:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$0.11Jun 14, 06:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$0.54Jun 14, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$1.36Jun 14, 06:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$0.75Jun 14, 05:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$0.89Jun 14, 05:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$0.34Jun 14, 05:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$0.44Jun 14, 04:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$1.13Jun 14, 04:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$1.08Jun 14, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$1.03Jun 14, 04:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $7.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 14:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 09:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.