0xa196b12b5ade6488432797c3f31f9bcd48579418
0xa196b12b5ade6488432797c3f31f9bcd48579418
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$171.19
Total PnL
$-161.93
Realised
$-6.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 13?
171 shares @ 84.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$171.19
$26.19
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
2244 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-113.00
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
298 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
108 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
63 shares @ 63.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 13?$101.10Jun 13, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 13?$25.30Jun 13, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 13?$10.21Jun 13, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 13?$5.10Jun 13, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 13?$5.08Jun 13, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$7.81Jun 13, 04:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$13.89Jun 13, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$10.13Jun 12, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$5.08Jun 12, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$10.25Jun 12, 20:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$8.90Jun 12, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$5.14Jun 12, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$5.14Jun 12, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$30.67Jun 9, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$10.26Jun 9, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$11.68Jun 5, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$1.05Jun 3, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$10.46Jun 3, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$12.00Jun 3, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 3?$188.69Jun 3, 07:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $18.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 14:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 10:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.