Austere-Ballpark
0xa1978affa1287e80e3dafabaf4c0c36b887f467e
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$356.80
Total PnL
$-507.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
360 shares @ 94.5¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$356.80
$16.39
- UP
Solana Up or Down on February 1?
616 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-221.76
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 8?
300 shares @ 68.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-205.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 11?
220 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-96.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$5.76Mar 6, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$22.03Mar 6, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$22.85Mar 6, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$14.76Mar 6, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$11.81Mar 6, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$11.74Mar 6, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$0.99Mar 6, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$85.91Mar 6, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$0.99Mar 6, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$163.57Mar 6, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 4?$839.99Mar 6, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 4?$1.98Feb 28, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 4?$2.03Feb 28, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 4?$558.78Feb 28, 10:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 26?$560.00Feb 28, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 26?$330.40Feb 23, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 11?$96.80Feb 9, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 8?$205.50Feb 6, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on February 1?$221.76Feb 1, 05:34 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$222.01Feb 1, 05:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $435.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 21, 13:38 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 6, 08:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".