Inborn-Understanding
0xa199e317b259a2eebd789356022066f5d2295aa6
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$27.75
Total PnL
$-43.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
90 shares @ 36.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$10.33
$-22.00
- YES
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?
34 shares @ 29.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$8.79
$-1.21
- NO
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
75 shares @ 20.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$8.63
$-6.38
- NO
Will Petro mention Hitler again by June 30?
938 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$2.10Jun 9, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Petro mention Hitler again by June 30?$7.01Jun 9, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$5.13Jun 7, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-06-27?$10.21Jun 7, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$15.48Jun 2, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$33.16May 30, 21:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $12.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 21:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 19:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.