Shoddy-Theism
0xa1ab4978dff1fc3b3f66b816bdcef94ffe30da49
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$5.32
Total PnL
$-3.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Human moon landing in 2026?
2 shares @ 95.1¢·now 97.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.04
$0.04
- YES
Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.27
$0.27
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
OpenAI browser by October 31?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Chan Santokhi be the next president of Suriname after the election?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump designate ANTIFA a terrorist organization by September 30?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?$2.00Mar 6, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.00Mar 6, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.33Mar 6, 08:59 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$2.01Mar 6, 08:59 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$3.02Mar 6, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.31Jan 25, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$2.00Jan 25, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$3.00Jan 25, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYHuman moon landing in 2026?$2.00Jan 25, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMUS recession in 2025?$2.45Jan 25, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$5.85Jan 25, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$5.83Dec 16, 11:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) beat quarterly earnings?$1.27Dec 16, 11:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 115m?$2.02Dec 16, 11:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$2.15Dec 16, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$2.00Nov 24, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Nov 24, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 115m?$2.00Nov 24, 05:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Black Phone 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 28m?$1.02Nov 24, 05:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.09Nov 24, 05:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 02:27 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 6, 09:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.