Submissive-Distance
0xa1b9a316c3092622725c2849a582c43c85e74b38
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
45
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-148.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
212 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.12
- YES
Prince Andrew mugshot released by February 28?
167 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C or higher on March 3?
159 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 25?
150 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 4?
119 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.73
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 14?
104 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.46
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 23?
103 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.44
- USC UPSTATE SPARTANS
USC Upstate Spartans vs. Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
93 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.23
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 19?
93 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.39
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 20?
92 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.41
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on March 4?$17.49Jul 18, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 1?$203.71Jul 1, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 1?$0.16Jul 1, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 1?$0.21Jun 30, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 1?$200.89Jun 30, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) close at $425-$430 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?$18.75Jun 30, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$2.27May 31, 14:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 16?$23.19May 28, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on March 3?$23.92May 22, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 19?$1.49May 19, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 19?$2.35May 18, 18:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on March 5?$25.35May 16, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 12?$2.69May 12, 01:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "Labour" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$25.80May 10, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 28?$2.06Apr 28, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 1?$166.02Apr 28, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - April 21, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$1.24Apr 21, 15:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on January 28?$0.00Apr 18, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 16?$17.16Apr 16, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 14?$1.57Apr 14, 03:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $27.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 19:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 07:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.