Flustered-Pound
0xa1bdc34845c82e1d03341ca4434c32821664de99
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$985.81
Total PnL
$-364.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
821 shares @ 67.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$545.90
$-4.10
- YES
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?
149 shares @ 67.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$100.75
$0.75
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
164 shares @ 61.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$99.18
$-0.82
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
1667 shares @ 6.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$75.00
$-25.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
3278 shares @ 3.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$60.64
$-39.36
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
3655 shares @ 2.7¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$54.82
$-45.17
- YES
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?
94 shares @ 53.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$49.53
$-0.47
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
1218 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?
591 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
121 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-18.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$504.95Jun 13, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$50.70Jun 13, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$100.99Jun 13, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$101.17Jun 13, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$50.49Jun 13, 03:24 UTC
- TRADESELLSeattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals$86.02Jun 13, 03:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$106.27Jun 13, 03:20 UTC
- TRADESELLAtlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox$43.22Jun 13, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$50.79Jun 12, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals$50.63Jun 12, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox$50.77Jun 12, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$100.00Jun 12, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$100.00Jun 12, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?$100.00Jun 12, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$10.00Apr 1, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$10.00Apr 1, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$10.00Apr 1, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$10.00Apr 1, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres$10.00Apr 1, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?$50.00Mar 1, 04:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $161.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 13:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 03:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.