0xa1c3d523010be656ca3af31b876ebf644e0e4c56
0xa1c3d523010be656ca3af31b876ebf644e0e4c56
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$215.47
Total PnL
$-507.02
Realised
$77.26
Win rate
62%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in January?
103 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$102.75
$42.13
- NO
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026
51 shares @ 40.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$51.03
$30.28
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
21 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$21.00
$2.52
- YES
Will Choosin’ Texas by Ella Langley be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 14?
15 shares @ 9.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$15.00
$13.65
- NO
Will Renovación Popular (RP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$7.84
$3.04
- NO
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
165 shares @ 52.0¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.35
$-79.45
- NO
Will Daniel Cameron be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
5 shares @ 85.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$4.99
$0.71
- YES
Will Avi Lewis win the Canadian NDP Leadership election?
3 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$3.00
$0.36
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$2.00
$0.20
- YES
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.51
$0.86
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$0.00May 17, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$0.00May 17, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$0.00May 17, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Avi Lewis win the Canadian NDP Leadership election?$0.00May 17, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Choosin’ Texas by Ella Langley be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 14?$0.00May 17, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$0.00May 17, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026$0.00May 17, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by 2.5% in January?$0.00May 17, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$0.00May 16, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?$0.00May 16, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$0.00May 16, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$0.00May 16, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$0.00May 16, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$0.00May 16, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Avi Lewis win the Canadian NDP Leadership election?$0.00May 16, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Choosin’ Texas by Ella Langley be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 14?$0.00May 16, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$0.00May 16, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026$0.00May 16, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by 2.5% in January?$0.00May 16, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$0.00May 15, 06:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 06:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 06:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".