Early-Leopard-Probability
0xa1c6c39144140a64adb2d2d50ba8140548eb4856
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$9.18
Total PnL
$-24.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
4 shares @ 69.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.98
$-0.02
- RONALDO
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.35
$0.35
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.26
$0.26
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 10.2¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will anyone say "Six Seven" during Rick and Morty E4 S9?
12 shares @ 17.1¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.32
$-1.68
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
19 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.18
$-1.82
- YES
Will NiKo have the most AWP kills at IEM Cologne Major 2026
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.01
$-0.99
- YES
President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?
68 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
26 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$1.30Jun 13, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$1.28Jun 13, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$1.01Jun 13, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$1.01Jun 13, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$1.01Jun 13, 11:53 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs$0.00Jun 13, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?$1.04Jun 13, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs$1.02Jun 13, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$1.04Jun 13, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs$3.04Jun 12, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$5.96Jun 12, 21:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$0.00Jun 12, 21:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$0.00Jun 12, 21:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$6.90Jun 12, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$1.04Jun 12, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$5.00Jun 12, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$1.03Jun 12, 21:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$2.00Jun 12, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$1.04Jun 12, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$1.03Jun 12, 21:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 14:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 19:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.