Late-Gaffer
0xa1cc5447893617240a80c098783f56304eff3ddb
active
Quality score
72/100
Open positions
5
Open notional
$188.71
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-31.99
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?
510 shares @ 50.8¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$188.71
$-70.54
- YES
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?
1733 shares @ 38.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-673.53
- YES
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?
700 shares @ 68.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-479.00
- YES
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?
227 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
206 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-68.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$68.12102d ago
- TRADESELLWill another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?$70.18102d ago
- TRADEBUYWill another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?$157.52132d ago
- TRADESELLTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?$157.52132d ago
- TRADEBUYTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?$126.05133d ago
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?$125.15133d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?$35.00134d ago
- TRADEBUYWill another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?$200.00134d ago
- TRADEBUYGrok 5 released by March 31, 2026?$35.26134d ago
- TRADEBUYGrok 5 released by March 31, 2026?$193.90134d ago
- TRADEBUYGrok 5 released by March 31, 2026?$72.35134d ago
- TRADEBUYGrok 5 released by March 31, 2026?$15.68135d ago
- TRADEBUYGrok 5 released by March 31, 2026?$42.89135d ago
- TRADEBUYWill another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?$3.90135d ago
- TRADEBUYGrok 5 released by March 31, 2026?$76.08135d ago
- TRADEBUYGrok 5 released by March 31, 2026?$42.84135d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?$3.44135d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?$20.50135d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?$156.00136d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?$232.61136d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $106.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 136d ago
- Last active
- 102d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.