Amazing-Hygienic
0xa1dd2e96c97033dbbeddb31b4e82eab310acd799
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-130.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
900 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on May 20?
800 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?
651 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
575 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.30
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 8?
550 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- NO
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 65°F or higher on October 21?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 17?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
375 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$14.41Jul 18, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$14.40Jul 17, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$73.07Jun 3, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$73.00Jun 3, 10:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.00May 31, 21:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$72.14May 26, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$72.01May 26, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?$2.00May 23, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in May 2026?$70.07May 23, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in May 2026?$70.00May 22, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?$3.21May 22, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?$2.00May 22, 12:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$75.08May 19, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$75.00May 19, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$76.08May 19, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on May 20?$1.71May 19, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$76.00May 13, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?$76.99May 13, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.00May 9, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?$77.00May 7, 11:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $55.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 03:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 07:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.