Attentive-Operator
0xa1ffbb2952fcd18b3b4759ccddeb7fdf90f655bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$10.2K
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$-1.6K
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
6363 shares @ 69.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$4.3K
$-63.63
- NO
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
4460 shares @ 80.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$2.9K
$-691.97
- NO
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
4719 shares @ 38.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Oct 28, 2026$1.5K
$-259.74
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
2028 shares @ 27.3¢·now 21.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$429.01
$-125.29
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
715 shares @ 47.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$397.10
$60.82
- NO
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
292 shares @ 85.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$291.45
$43.30
- NO
Will Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?
121 shares @ 96.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$121.14
$3.58
- NO
Will Santander fail by end of 2026?
45 shares @ 96.4¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$44.29
$0.48
- YES
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
200 shares @ 25.0¢·now 21.6¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$43.10
$-6.90
- NO
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
128 shares @ 32.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$39.04
$-1.92
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$4.71Jul 28, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$0.00Jul 27, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$80.00Jul 27, 02:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$14.04Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$52.32Jul 26, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$48.19Jul 25, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$48.19Jul 25, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$47.87Jul 25, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$48.19Jul 25, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$48.09Jul 25, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$48.19Jul 25, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$48.19Jul 25, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$48.03Jul 25, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$48.66Jul 25, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$48.74Jul 25, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$50.81Jul 25, 06:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $47.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 06:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.