Thorny-Idea
0xa225fab1ef73becedaf2a5bdc4ca80231fe7b903
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$15.06
Total PnL
$-23.0K
Realised
$-2.0K
Win rate
13%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
43 shares @ 37.0¢·now 25.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.88
$-5.12
- YES
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
30 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.9¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$2.69
$-0.03
- YES
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
75 shares @ 3.9¢·now 2.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.49
$-1.41
- NO
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?
82963 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
48500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-97.00
- YES
Will Cesena FC win on 2025-12-08?
11406 shares @ 43.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-5.0K
- YES
Will West Ham win on 2025-10-24?
10977 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-2.4K
- LIPSCOMB BISONS
Lipscomb Bisons vs. Duke Blue Devils
8200 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-164.00
- ZANDSCHULP
Hellenic Championship: Stan Wawrinka vs Botic van de Zandschulp
6043 shares @ 66.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-4.0K
- YES
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Genoa end in a draw?
3069 shares @ 48.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 00:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".