Silly-Humidity
0xa23774ae6093781c40151a76567ac23021ebd2bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-319.42
Realised
$0.31
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6395 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-12.79
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6250 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Border" 5+ times during events in Rockland County?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2470 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.88
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1379 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-16.55
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1063 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
392 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-35.71
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
221 shares @ 17.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-37.80
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$50.33Jul 14, 20:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$108.58Jul 10, 21:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 8, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 5, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 4, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 30, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 28, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
7 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $40.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.