Mad-Swimming
0xa266e65bb20960472358411d4ad383c28cfe001a
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
74
Open notional
$22.52
Total PnL
$-14.94
Realised
$3.81
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 10.1¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.00
$0.78
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16 shares @ 7.2¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.80
$0.64
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
3 shares @ 26.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.70
$1.05
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
9 shares @ 12.0¢·now 18.9¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.70
$0.62
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
15 shares @ 8.0¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.45
$0.25
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
17 shares @ 6.8¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.33
$0.18
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
17 shares @ 6.4¢·now 7.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.27
$0.18
- YES
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.24
$0.44
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
7 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.16
$0.03
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7 shares @ 16.2¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.15
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.00Jun 13, 02:24 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$2.00Jun 12, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$1.00Jun 11, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$1.00Jun 11, 20:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$1.27Jun 11, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?$1.13Jun 11, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.30Jun 11, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? $1.00Jun 11, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$3.00Jun 11, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.06Jun 11, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?$1.30Jun 9, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$1.35Jun 9, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.06Jun 9, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.09Jun 9, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.10Jun 9, 07:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$1.70Jun 8, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$1.60Jun 8, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jun 8, 19:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.26Jun 8, 19:28 UTC
- CONVERSIONWorld Cup Winner $5.00Jun 8, 19:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 20:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 02:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.