Vital-Connotation
0xa269b9963d939a91baf778ff64954aa4fe94ddc9
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
167
Open notional
$5.26
Total PnL
$-441.30
Realised
$120.32
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 167- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
597 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.09
$-2.91
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.78
$-1.22
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.72
$-0.28
- YES
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?
120 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.54
$-1.46
- YES
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
189 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.47
$-5.53
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
103 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.36
$-1.64
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
22 shares @ 4.5¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.30
$-0.70
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
17381 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-44.98
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 20?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?
5500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-31.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$1.04May 17, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$1.07May 17, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$2.07May 17, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$1.03May 17, 19:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$4.44May 17, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$1.05May 17, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$1.04May 17, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$1.07May 17, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$1.07May 17, 19:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$4.86May 17, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$2.06May 17, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$1.05May 17, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$1.03May 17, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$1.05May 17, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$2.09May 17, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$3.66May 17, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$2.10May 17, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$2.09May 17, 19:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$7.62May 17, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$1.03May 17, 19:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 03:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 19:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".