Drafty-Bonfire
0xa27e7397b4110a6fc47a7b7bfa6c927f0dead0ff
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$1.00
Total PnL
$-14.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 37°F or below on May 2?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 2, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
7 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
4 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$1.035h ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$1.345h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$1.215h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$1.045h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$1.075h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$1.035h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$1.045h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$3.127h ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$6.458h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$3.128h ago
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$4.768h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$2.078h ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$2.088h ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$1.048h ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$1.048h ago
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$1.468h ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$1.038h ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$4.108h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$3.068h ago
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$5.088h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 23h ago
- Last active
- 5h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".