Classic-Paranoia
0xa2b21e36b1cad9b3b38a52fdfa79516fe2061b90
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$23.21
Total PnL
$4.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- BULLS
Spread: Thunder (-20.5)
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$9.00
$4.23
- NO
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
4 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
3 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$2.74
$0.04
- YES
US government shutdown Saturday?
2 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$2.31
$0.01
- NO
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$2.14
$0.04
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 31?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.00Apr 4, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?$2.00Apr 4, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Thunder (-20.5)$4.77Mar 27, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 31?$1.00Jan 31, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$2.10Jan 31, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$2.70Jan 31, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$2.30Jan 31, 09:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $2.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 09:46 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 4, 10:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".