Gullible-Hormone
0xa2cb8042021872135f6c353b7a61a49eaf20a498
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on April 7?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C or higher on April 7?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on April 8?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 8?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on April 9?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Rutte?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C or higher on April 9?$1.33Apr 9, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on April 9?$1.09Apr 9, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on April 9?$1.09Apr 9, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 9?$1.19Apr 9, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 9?$0.54Apr 9, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?$0.73Apr 9, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C or higher on April 9?$1.00Apr 8, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 9?$1.00Apr 8, 20:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 8?$1.15Apr 8, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C or higher on April 8?$1.22Apr 8, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 9?$1.00Apr 8, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on April 9?$1.00Apr 8, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$0.94Apr 8, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C or higher on April 9?$1.00Apr 8, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on April 9?$1.00Apr 8, 11:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C or higher on April 11?$0.93Apr 8, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMHeat vs. Raptors: O/U 238.5$2.14Apr 8, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on April 8?$0.42Apr 8, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 8?$1.00Apr 8, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.41Apr 7, 23:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $0.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 19:29 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 20:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".