0xa2cdf97a42fa94ac2f19af1fe680754743ab2e8c
0xa2cdf97a42fa94ac2f19af1fe680754743ab2e8c
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-34.07
Realised
$0.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
1000 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$925.00
$5.00
- YES
Kash Patel out by December 31?
210 shares @ 78.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$133.43
$-30.47
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?
200 shares @ 64.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$127.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?
9 shares @ 86.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$7.95
$0.22
- NO
Will Nithya Raman win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?
8 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$7.53
$0.08
- YES
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
112 shares @ 9.5¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.64
$-8.03
- NO
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
2 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$2.38
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?$129.84May 19, 22:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$1.51May 19, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$147.35May 19, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$0.09May 19, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$0.24May 19, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$3.10May 19, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$5.91May 19, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$21.79May 19, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$179.18May 19, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola pandemic in 2026?$738.94May 18, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola pandemic in 2026?$184.74May 18, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$136.64May 18, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud$409.99May 17, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud$214.50May 17, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud$78.00May 17, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud$16.26May 17, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud$81.33May 17, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud$9.80May 17, 16:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$852.01May 17, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$14.18May 16, 19:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $200.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 17:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 22:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".