Kash Patel out by December 31?

1. 1

   Down 3pp over 24h

   Now 75¢; +0.5pp in the last hour.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 5985h with open resolution ambiguity.

3. 3

   Thin liquidity

   Only $24.4k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.