Alive-Decisionmaking
0xa2e1d9a503b5ad5322efc99860b6a2b60b488cf0
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-64.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on January 7?
750 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?
600 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 27?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on December 8?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$93.09Jun 3, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?$1.00Jun 2, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?$1.00Jun 2, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$93.00Jun 1, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$1.00May 28, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?$93.09May 26, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$1.00May 26, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?$93.01May 25, 11:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on May 23?$92.18May 23, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on May 23?$92.01May 21, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$92.09May 13, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$92.00May 12, 11:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?$92.09May 8, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?$92.00May 8, 10:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?$92.18May 8, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?$92.01May 6, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 5?$1.00May 6, 10:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?$18.02May 6, 10:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?$74.15May 6, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 5?$1.00May 4, 09:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $64.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 13:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 18:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".