Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?
Probability
22¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-14.0pp
24h Vol
$1.2K
Liquidity
$5.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
-6.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Down 14pp over 24h
Now 22¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $5.6k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability recovers above 27¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 213.1h
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 22¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 22¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 26¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.5pp
to 26¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.5pp
to 28¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.5pp
to 31¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.0pp
to 37¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.0pp
to 37¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.5pp
to 37¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.5pp
to 37¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.5pp
to 37¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.5pp
to 37¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.5pp
to 37¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 27.0pp
to 39¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.5pp
to 38¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.5pp
to 38¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 27.0pp
to 40¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.0pp
to 41¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.0pp
to 44¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.0pp
to 45¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.5pp
to 43¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.5pp
to 43¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.0pp
to 43¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 34¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
4- 40¢+7.0pp
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?
Entertainment · Vol $1.6K
- 5¢-0.1pp
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?
Entertainment · Vol $973.43
- 8¢+3.9pp
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?
Entertainment · Vol $1.2K
- 27¢+4.5pp
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 90m?
Entertainment · Vol $1.3K
Market Description
This market will resolve according to how much "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 1 - May 3) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.the-numbers.com/Ambiguous wording
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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