Left-Codon
0xa2e95a54c738ff9d070888584c593ee94bd46af7
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$157.45
Total PnL
$-32.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
70 shares @ 85.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$69.68
$9.68
- MAX HOLLOWAY
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
60 shares @ 67.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$39.70
$-0.30
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
71 shares @ 56.7¢·now 37.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.10
$-13.90
- YES
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.50
$-7.50
- NO
Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?
13 shares @ 75.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$9.47
$-0.53
- YES
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1490 and 1500?
34 shares @ 43.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510?
11 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?$10.07Jun 30, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$40.40Jun 30, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$40.00Jun 26, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.11Jun 15, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$20.00Jun 15, 14:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$88.42Jun 15, 01:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$39.30Jun 15, 01:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$55.96Jun 15, 01:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$39.37Jun 14, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$49.45Jun 14, 02:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$28.84Jun 12, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$40.00Jun 11, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$20.00Jun 8, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$20.00Jun 8, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$20.00Jun 8, 14:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$54.55Jun 1, 12:17 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$11.21Jun 1, 10:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $23.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 22:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.