0xa2fcb3047f2117434782f04b101f7a8c8315e3ec
0xa2fcb3047f2117434782f04b101f7a8c8315e3ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$52.60
Total PnL
$0.27
Realised
$0.99
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?
18 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$17.74
$10.29
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the AL-04 House seat?
9 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$8.75
$-0.05
- NO
Will Jabarie Walker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
4 shares @ 88.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 16, 2026$3.53
$0.41
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the IL-01 House seat?
4 shares @ 93.1¢·now 98.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.49
$0.19
- NO
Will Troy Green be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 94.9¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$3.24
$2.08
- NO
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
5 shares @ 72.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$2.93
$-0.37
- YES
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?
4 shares @ 62.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$2.84
$0.57
- NO
Will Karrin Taylor Robson win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?
2 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$2.18
$-0.00
- YES
Will Ferdinando Federico win the 2026 Ottaviano mayoral election?
2 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$2.01
$0.08
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-06 House seat?
2 shares @ 92.9¢·now 93.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.75
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Karrin Taylor Robson win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?$1.09Jun 9, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karrin Taylor Robson win the 2026 Arizona Governor Republican primary election?$1.09Jun 8, 22:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ferdinando Federico win the 2026 Ottaviano mayoral election?$1.07Jun 8, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ferdinando Federico win the 2026 Ottaviano mayoral election?$0.01Jun 8, 01:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ferdinando Federico win the 2026 Ottaviano mayoral election?$0.03Jun 8, 00:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ferdinando Federico win the 2026 Ottaviano mayoral election?$0.01Jun 8, 00:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ferdinando Federico win the 2026 Ottaviano mayoral election?$0.01Jun 8, 00:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ferdinando Federico win the 2026 Ottaviano mayoral election?$0.01Jun 8, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.91Jun 7, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ferdinando Federico win the 2026 Ottaviano mayoral election?$0.03Jun 4, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ferdinando Federico win the 2026 Ottaviano mayoral election?$0.21Jun 4, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ferdinando Federico win the 2026 Ottaviano mayoral election?$0.10Jun 4, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ferdinando Federico win the 2026 Ottaviano mayoral election?$3.42Jun 4, 03:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?$2.85Jun 2, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?$1.02May 26, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arya Azma win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?$1.09May 22, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arya Azma win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?$1.09May 21, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arya Azma win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?$1.09May 21, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arya Azma win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?$1.09May 21, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arya Azma win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?$1.08May 21, 15:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 14:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 17:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.