Mature-Lender
0xa3124352a12139b71d5e05db1dcdb35083eb891a
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$103.85
Total PnL
$-410.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7692 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$103.85
$3.85
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 25?
9281 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-9.28
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 25?
963 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-18.59
- NO
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score
333 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
282 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-33.72
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?
188 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8AM ET
186 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-9.32
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 4AM ET
184 shares @ 47.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-86.57
- YES
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-30?
174 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on April 26?
142 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-9.53
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.96Jun 6, 17:49 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC?$125.00May 6, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC?$8.99May 6, 18:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$0.00Apr 30, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$5.27Apr 30, 18:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$0.00Apr 30, 18:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$10.00Apr 30, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$5.18Apr 30, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 30?$2.08Apr 30, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-30?$40.92Apr 30, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?$46.03Apr 28, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYParis Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score$102.10Apr 28, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 26, 4AM ET$90.00Apr 26, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on April 26?$10.00Apr 26, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$36.00Apr 25, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8AM ET$10.00Apr 25, 12:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5AM ET$163.41Apr 25, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 25?$20.00Apr 25, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5AM ET$60.00Apr 25, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Waste" or "Fraud" 2+ times during WHCA Dinner events?$50.00Apr 25, 09:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $29.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 07:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 17:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.