Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 25?
Probability
2¢
1h
-0.4pp
24h
-6.6pp
24h Vol
$76.5K
Liquidity
$25.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 16:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 7.7h
- 08:20SignalHIGH
Signal · Momentum down
Probability moved down 6.6pp in 24h with 3.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 08:20SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 8h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -47.1pp
to 2¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -47.0pp
to 3¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -41.2pp
to 4¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -49.9pp
to 1¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -54.0pp
to 1¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -47.9pp
to 1¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -44.8pp
to 1¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -43.1pp
to 3¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -42.4pp
to 4¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -45.6pp
to 4¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -34.3pp
to 4¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -33.4pp
to 6¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.5pp
to 6¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.5pp
to 11¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.0pp
to 7¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.0pp
to 6¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.0pp
to 9¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.5pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.5pp
to 9¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.5pp
to 13¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 18¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.5pp
to 18¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 18¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 17¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.0pp
to 13¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.0pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.5pp
to 23¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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