Weary-Download
0xa315514d7256eecc8266dab3923e2b4cdc763365
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-577.54
Realised
$-578.76
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
600 shares @ 68.3¢·now 61.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$370.21
$-39.90
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
250 shares @ 90.0¢·now 94.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$237.13
$12.13
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
600 shares @ 35.0¢·now 38.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$229.80
$19.80
- YES
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?
200 shares @ 97.1¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 21, 2026$197.60
$3.40
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
200 shares @ 85.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$174.01
$4.00
- YES
Will Figure's F.03 Robots Run Without Failure Through May 21, 10 PM ET?
200 shares @ 86.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$166.00
$-6.00
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 54.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$155.00
$47.00
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 42.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$45.00
$-39.00
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?
2 shares @ 97.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.12
$0.00
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$74.68May 20, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$169.01May 20, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.99May 20, 12:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?$24.55May 20, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 Robots Run Without Failure Through May 21, 10 PM ET?$2.56May 20, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Figure's F.03 Robots Run Without Failure Through May 21, 10 PM ET?$169.44May 20, 11:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$81.09May 20, 10:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$3.26May 20, 10:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$11.19May 20, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$53.14May 20, 10:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$25.19May 20, 10:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?$4.11May 20, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.00May 20, 10:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$35.00May 20, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$16.80May 20, 10:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?$50.13May 20, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$21.66May 20, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$44.63May 20, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?$177.82May 20, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$49.81May 20, 09:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $72.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 23:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 13:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".