Scrawny-Reporter
0xa33d25630fb8b779ea9744bc6dfab536272f3ef2
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
120
Open notional
$3.7K
Total PnL
$-618.61
Realised
$-16.40
Win rate
40%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 120- YES
Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?
384 shares @ 65.8¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$292.20
$39.24
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
281 shares @ 89.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$265.45
$15.45
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
286 shares @ 85.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$261.55
$18.55
- NO
Will Reform win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
264 shares @ 92.1¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$245.69
$2.42
- YES
Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?
253 shares @ 79.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp May 7, 2026$213.94
$13.92
- YES
Will Brian Poindexter be the Democratic nominee for OH-07?
218 shares @ 92.3¢·now 95.4¢·exp May 5, 2026$207.71
$6.71
- YES
Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
195 shares @ 88.7¢·now 97.1¢·exp May 7, 2026$189.56
$16.40
- NO
Will Areeq Chowdhury win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?
200 shares @ 90.4¢·now 93.8¢·exp May 7, 2026$187.98
$6.72
- NO
Will Peter Underwood win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?
213 shares @ 94.6¢·now 88.3¢·exp May 7, 2026$187.71
$-13.43
- YES
Will Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?
185 shares @ 54.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp May 7, 2026$137.96
$37.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on May 4?$1.0018m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on May 4?$1.0219m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on May 4?$1.0220m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 4?$1.0220m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on May 4?$1.0221m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on May 4?$1.0221m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 4?$1.0221m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on May 4?$1.0222m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on May 4?$1.0123m ago
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$49.641h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 4?$2.032h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 4?$2.022h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on May 4?$2.012h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 4?$2.002h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 4?$0.372h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 4?$2.012h ago
- TRADESELLWill Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$72.202h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on May 4?$1.002h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 4?$1.022h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on May 4?$1.012h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $9.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 4h ago
- Last active
- 18m ago
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".