Probable-Hypothesis
0xa3543673b381e00303b5c15d6cd0d9455d1a22eb
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
73
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-595.00
Win rate
0%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- NO
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
825 shares @ 60.6¢·now 59.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$486.95
$-13.05
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
501 shares @ 79.8¢·now 73.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$365.95
$-34.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 24?
300 shares @ 91.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$299.50
$25.83
- NO
Will Tempo launch a token by June 30 2026?
213 shares @ 70.4¢·now 92.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$196.27
$46.27
- NO
Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026?
124 shares @ 80.9¢·now 95.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$118.53
$18.53
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 27?
112 shares @ 89.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$101.09
$1.64
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 26?
104 shares @ 80.2¢·now 77.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$80.42
$-3.38
- NO
Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026?
93 shares @ 53.8¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$76.69
$26.69
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
80 shares @ 62.5¢·now 93.2¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$74.60
$24.60
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
67 shares @ 75.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$64.47
$14.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 26?$62.823h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 26?$1.183h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 26?$20.0014h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 27?$100.0014h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 25?$202.5114h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 26?$40.0014h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?$16.4814h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?$9.7014h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?$1.0014h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 25?$0.4614h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 25?$11.0616h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 25?$3.4516h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 25?$50.0018h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?$10.0018h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 25?$14.0018h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 25?$9.5820h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 25?$39.4220h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 25?$97.0020h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 25?$1.0020h ago
- YIELD$0.0021h ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $36.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 4d ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.