Original-Toreador
0xa3832bd1a5d8c084a2f8720e8352dc342b85833a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-173.62
Realised
$-0.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
188 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on April 18?
177 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in April?
105 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Peacefully and Patriotically" in April?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?
94 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-28.09
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
94 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.49
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?
78 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Braggadocious" in April?
75 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" in April?
74 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Trump say "RINO" or "Republican in Name Only" in April?
44 shares @ 34.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?$28.88May 19, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$25.26May 19, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.76May 17, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$4.66May 16, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$10.38May 16, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$15.02May 16, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$25.00May 15, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?$25.00May 15, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$30.07May 15, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?$50.72May 14, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $296 in May?$79.47May 13, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$1.39May 9, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$1.08May 9, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLJimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?$0.68May 8, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?$20.20May 5, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$18.98May 5, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$20.53May 1, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $296 in May?$32.76May 1, 21:14 UTC
- REDEEMAbidjan 2: Eliakim Coulibaly vs Yanki Erel$8.72Apr 28, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$9.80Apr 28, 18:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $23.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 17:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 16:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.