Distinct-Nerve
0xa3a2af996e68a65d138f4ad93ad0cfa5897131db
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$31.91
Total PnL
$-1.79
Realised
$2.32
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
176 shares @ 17.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.35
$-2.65
- YES
Will Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?
207 shares @ 1.0¢·now 2.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.56
$2.53
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Clavicular be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026?$4.14May 26, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?$1.04May 20, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$1.03May 19, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$0.00May 19, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$1.06May 19, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$31.24May 19, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$1.06May 12, 15:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$3.48May 12, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$1.06May 12, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$1.06May 12, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.05May 12, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$35.50May 7, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 1?$0.00Apr 3, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 1?$4.78Mar 31, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$20.00Mar 31, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on March 28?$11.11Mar 31, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on March 28?$5.00Mar 27, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on March 26?$0.00Mar 27, 15:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$0.00Mar 24, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.00Mar 24, 14:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $5.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 12:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 14:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.