Pesky-Grit
0xa3b2537d097b5770236f608af6e6776711f7a07e
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.6K
Realised
$541.37
Win rate
47%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25?
3177 shares @ 31.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 18?
1670 shares @ 47.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-788.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 23?
600 shares @ 23.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2025$0.00
$-140.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 24?
571 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2025$0.00
$-200.02
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15?
555 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-249.96
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 21?
280 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2025$0.00
$-182.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 12AM ET
217 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2025$0.00
$-108.66
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 5?
201 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-12.83
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 25?
200 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2025$0.00
$-104.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 22?
200 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-79.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 31?$1.58May 31, 08:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on May 31?$1.45May 31, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 31?$1.52May 31, 08:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on May 31?$1.51May 31, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 31?$1.58May 31, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on May 31?$1.45May 31, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 31?$1.58May 31, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on May 31?$1.45May 31, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on May 31?$1.48May 31, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 31?$1.61May 31, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on May 31?$1.42May 31, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 31?$1.52May 31, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on May 31?$1.39May 31, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 31?$1.52May 31, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on May 31?$1.42May 31, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 31?$1.52May 31, 02:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on May 31?$1.48May 31, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 31?$1.55May 31, 00:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on May 31?$1.45May 31, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 31?$1.58May 31, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
47% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 16:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 08:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.