Improbable-Chicory
0xa3c87682bed351ec910ede57618fd74c34a82f7a
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-21.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026?
2900 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.40
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 25?
23 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.35
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?
18 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.21
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
18 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.30
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
11 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.65
Recent activity
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$0.00Apr 29, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?$1.93Apr 24, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?$0.28Apr 24, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 25?$1.35Apr 24, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 25?$1.00Apr 24, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$4.87Apr 24, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$1.07Apr 23, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$1.15Apr 23, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$0.21Apr 23, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$2.00Apr 21, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$1.65Apr 21, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?$1.00Apr 21, 17:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$7.50Apr 21, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?$3.60Apr 19, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$1.16Apr 19, 22:51 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$4.53Apr 19, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.30Apr 15, 19:16 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran ends on April 12, 2026?$0.00Apr 15, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026?$3.00Apr 12, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026?$2.40Apr 12, 14:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $1.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 17:41 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 16:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.