Some-Normalisation
0xa3fe5c8da3692e05396cb83af5eb8a39bd2ea7a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$38.27
Total PnL
$-634.12
Realised
$-100.82
Win rate
56%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?
9 shares @ 86.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Kazakhstan participate in Eurovision 2027?
9 shares @ 63.2¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.18
$1.68
- NO
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?
7 shares @ 67.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.56
$0.56
- YES
Will Italy participate in Eurovision 2027?
4 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Germany participate in Eurovision 2027?
4 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027?
5 shares @ 74.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.46
$-1.54
- YES
Will Billie Eilish release an album in 2026?
7 shares @ 29.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.45
$-0.55
- NO
Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2027?
11 shares @ 46.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.36
$-3.64
- NO
Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.18
$-0.82
- NO
Will North Macedonia participate in Eurovision 2027?
9 shares @ 75.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.93
$-6.07
Recent activity
- TRADESELLGTA VI released before November 2026?$4.00Jun 4, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kazakhstan participate in Eurovision 2027?$2.50Jun 2, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Bieber perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?$1.03May 28, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Billie Eilish release an album in 2026?$2.07May 28, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Arirang - BTS" be the top Spotify album for 2026?$1.03May 28, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman - Drake" be the top Spotify album for 2026?$3.08May 28, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYKaty Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?$5.08May 28, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA VI released before November 2026?$4.19May 28, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sofia host Eurovision 2027?$8.06May 28, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2027?$2.01May 28, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kazakhstan participate in Eurovision 2027?$3.03May 28, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain participate in Eurovision 2027?$4.05May 28, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy participate in Eurovision 2027?$4.02May 28, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany participate in Eurovision 2027?$4.01May 28, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill North Macedonia participate in Eurovision 2027?$7.09May 28, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel participate in Eurovision 2027?$5.13May 28, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Varna host Eurovision 2027?$1.05May 28, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romania come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 12:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $6.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 21:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 12:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.