Constant-Monk
0xa401a9a3c6f31d7a7f6b0d49c30df3e3bc56d5de
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$3.14
Total PnL
$-43.90
Realised
$-0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.18
$-0.00
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 96.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.96
$-0.02
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on January 17?
5364 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.36
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 24?
1114 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.23
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 17?
1092 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.37
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 8?
1091 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.27
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 7?
1086 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on April 16?
1082 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on January 27?
1074 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 7?
1073 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.11Jun 4, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 3?$2.11Jun 3, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$2.18Jun 2, 02:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.15May 31, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 25?$2.10May 25, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$0.01May 21, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$0.01May 21, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$0.01May 21, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$0.01May 21, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$0.01May 21, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$0.01May 21, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$0.01May 21, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$0.01May 21, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$0.01May 21, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$0.01May 21, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$0.01May 21, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$0.01May 21, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$0.01May 21, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$0.01May 21, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$0.01May 21, 09:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $0.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 09:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".