Peaceful-Duffel
0xa4058b16dbe42b3eb69ad48d56e0d7d618e599ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-834.65
Realised
$1.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 21?
1429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?
549 shares @ 18.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
218 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-39.20
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
217 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
209 shares @ 38.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will Vaibhav Sooryavanshi be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?
200 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be 4.6%?
185 shares @ 34.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-64.00
- NO
Will Quantum Computing (QUBT) beat quarterly earnings?
179 shares @ 66.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Will Capital One (COF) beat quarterly earnings?
162 shares @ 91.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-147.15
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 22?
120 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$2.17Jan 30, 06:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?$26.70Jan 30, 06:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.40Jan 27, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLMicrostrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?$3.42Jan 27, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?$8.57Jan 27, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Affirm Holdings (AFRM) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$24.57Jan 27, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$68.29Jan 27, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Capital One (COF) beat quarterly earnings?$147.15Jan 22, 18:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Procter & Gamble (PG) beat quarterly earnings?$147.15Jan 22, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Procter & Gamble (PG) beat quarterly earnings?$142.04Jan 22, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Halliburton (HAL) beat quarterly earnings?$142.04Jan 21, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Halliburton (HAL) beat quarterly earnings?$129.90Jan 21, 05:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?$94.12Jan 21, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?$80.00Jan 20, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?$115.78Jan 20, 19:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 19, 00:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$95.65Jan 18, 05:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?$49.00Jan 18, 05:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 18, 00:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jan 17, 00:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $56.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 26, 00:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 30, 06:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.