Excitable-Yoke
0xa409c68cb0c305f7c18368208ce497e605e1e2db
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$4.97
Total PnL
$-30.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.97
$-0.01
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in July?
14100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-14.10
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 560 and 579 times September 5–12?
9800 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-9.80
- YES
Will the next reconciliation bill be passed on or after September 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $230 and $240 on September 25?
25 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$4.98May 8, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMTrump confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?$9.34May 8, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?$9.07Nov 1, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS national Solana reserve in 2025?$6.17Oct 27, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS national Solana reserve in 2025?$6.23Oct 17, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 7+ times during his 4th of July remarks?$3.31Sep 26, 22:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $230 and $240 on September 25?$4.49Sep 26, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $230 and $240 on September 25?$4.40Sep 24, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $230 and $240 on September 25?$2.40Sep 24, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 560 and 579 times September 5–12?$9.80Sep 12, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200K in July?$14.10Jul 31, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next reconciliation bill be passed on or after September 1?$1.00Jul 3, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMDiddy found guilty of sex trafficking?$0.00Jul 2, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk's net worth be more than $400b on June 30?$0.00Jul 2, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMStrike on Israel's Dimonah nuclear base in June?$0.00Jul 2, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$0.00Jul 2, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMRainbow airdrop in Q2 2025?$0.00Jul 2, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMBase airdrop in Q2 2025?$0.00Jul 2, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1000 in June?$0.00Jul 2, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4000 in June?$0.00Jul 2, 18:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $3.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 17:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 03:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".