Fancy-Footstep
0xa40fa2ce4ea68b1e6fc249ffb9e572ce6b1970dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$152.07
Total PnL
$-291.89
Realised
$-13.87
Win rate
36%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?
22 shares @ 84.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$21.86
$3.27
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
21 shares @ 71.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$20.93
$6.02
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
20 shares @ 82.5¢·now 89.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$17.90
$1.40
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
19 shares @ 83.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$14.44
$-1.33
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
16 shares @ 59.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$14.32
$4.88
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
15 shares @ 86.0¢·now 95.2¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$14.27
$1.37
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?
14 shares @ 83.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$11.27
$-0.35
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
39 shares @ 15.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$9.36
$3.50
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
15 shares @ 44.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$6.97
$0.38
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?
35 shares @ 13.2¢·now 19.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$6.88
$2.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.43Jul 29, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?$11.62Jul 28, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?$1.02Jul 28, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?$1.96Jul 28, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?$1.68Jul 28, 00:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$12.62Jul 27, 22:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?$1.71Jul 27, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?$0.70Jul 27, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?$2.24Jul 27, 18:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?$10.92Jul 27, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?$10.92Jul 27, 18:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$65.99Jul 27, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$6.60Jul 25, 22:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$14.55Jul 25, 13:50 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by July 31?$2.70Jul 25, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$1.20Jul 25, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?$1.22Jul 25, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$0.72Jul 24, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$0.33Jul 24, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$0.63Jul 24, 15:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
36% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $4.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 13:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 06:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.