Important-Modem
0xa4122080de41ede8e0d29b8da743adeaf00b8b21
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$6.30
Total PnL
$-38.95
Realised
$-0.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.79
$0.79
- YES
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 2.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.41
$0.41
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 19.9¢·now 22.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
51 shares @ 3.9¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.05
$-0.95
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 36.8¢·now 33.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will The Bride be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Iran strike Spain by April 30, 2026?
168 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by April 30, 2026?
109 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Iran strike Afghanistan by April 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
89 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMDota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B$0.00Apr 12, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMItaly Judicial Reform Referendum passes?$0.00Apr 12, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$0.00Apr 12, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMTrump cabinet member out by June 30, 2026?$0.00Apr 12, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?$0.00Apr 12, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$0.00Apr 12, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?$0.00Apr 12, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$0.00Apr 12, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$0.00Apr 12, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Ukraine by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 12, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Spain by April 30, 2026?$2.00Apr 12, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike the United Kingdom by April 30, 2026?$2.00Apr 12, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Afghanistan by April 30, 2026?$2.00Apr 12, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Syria by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 12, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 12, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 12, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 12, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?$2.00Apr 12, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 12, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$4.00Apr 12, 13:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $3.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 22:24 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 13:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.