Forsaken-Hostess
0xa4137091c88282cf4b0aaa8bf30649afe7d71fe0
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$120.40
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$10.76
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 89.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.60
$1.00
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
36 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$35.61
$9.97
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
30 shares @ 84.3¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.64
$3.35
- NO
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
20 shares @ 89.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.55
$1.75
- ALEXANDER ZVEREV
BNP Paribas Open: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinner
300 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-51.00
- NO
Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 9.5
234 shares @ 68.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-159.59
- NO
Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 2.5
203 shares @ 72.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-147.44
- NO
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-03-11?
200 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
- NO
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-14?
200 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-108.00
- B8
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2
200 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-74.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.