Icy-Laparoscope
0xa415a08201e1f72254e7a811baaf09f307b85dab
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$5.26
Total PnL
$-4.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-12-07?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2024$5.26
$4.26
- YES
Will RFK Jr. place second in any state?
230 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤100k votes?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jill Stein get >1% of the popular vote?
105 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
U.S. Presidential election decided by ≤10k votes?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Harris win New Jersey by 10+ points?
19 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will Southampton win on 2024-12-07?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Everton win on 2024-12-07?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-12-07?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Fulham win on 2024-12-08?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYU.S. Presidential election decided by ≤100k votes?$1.00Dec 6, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. place second in any state?$1.00Dec 6, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Presidential election decided by ≤10k votes?$1.00Dec 6, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jill Stein get >1% of the popular vote?$1.00Dec 6, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fulham win on 2024-12-08?$1.00Dec 6, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nottingham Forest win on 2024-12-07?$1.00Dec 6, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace win on 2024-12-07?$1.00Dec 6, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton win on 2024-12-07?$1.00Dec 6, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Southampton win on 2024-12-07?$1.00Dec 6, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leicester win on 2024-11-23?$0.00Dec 5, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crystal Palace win on 2024-11-23?$0.00Dec 5, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMTrail Blazers vs. Thunder$0.00Dec 5, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEM100+ Bird Flu cases by Friday?$0.00Dec 5, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace win on 2024-11-23?$0.50Nov 20, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leicester win on 2024-11-23?$0.30Nov 20, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUY100+ Bird Flu cases by Friday?$0.50Nov 20, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrail Blazers vs. Thunder$0.50Nov 20, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harris win New Jersey by 10+ points?$0.50Nov 20, 12:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brighton win on 2024-11-02?$0.00Nov 20, 12:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala go on Lex Fridman podcast?$0.00Nov 20, 12:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $0.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 31, 14:08 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 6, 07:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".